• Cody James

2020 Oscar Predictions


We are just days away from Hollywood’s biggest night of the year. The 92nd Academy Awards ceremony. Now that the Golden Globes, SAG Awards, and BAFTAs have all aired, consistency seems to be the expected precursor to this weekend's upcoming Academy Awards. Many of the major categories' winners at this year’s earlier awards ceremonies have been uniform across the board.


But that doesn’t mean we should go into this year’s Academy Awards not expecting a surprise. For example, take the Academy Awards’ Twitter post this past Monday:


The Academy of Motion Picture Arts & Sciences took to twitter and posted a chart titled “My Oscar Predictions.” This caused a ton of confusion among followers of The Academy who found it strange that The Academy had created their own Oscar predictions or worse, that they had released the names of this year’s winners early.


Amidst confusion from their social media followers, The Academy took down the post and released the following tweet:



This year, The Academy launched “The Oscars Predictions Experience” where social media followers could make their predictions. Apparently, this idea backfired as it caused immense confusion once The Academy allegedly posted the results of the Predictions Experience. But one can’t deny how similar the “My Predictions” tweet by the Academy resembles the overall viewpoint of how many believe the Oscars will turn out come Sunday night. Which begs the question… have the Oscars become too predictable? And if so, can this mean this year’s Academy Awards will have some unexpected wins?


The ‘hostless’ 2020 Academy Awards will take place on February 9th at 8 PM eastern / 5 PM pacific and air on ABC.


So now I am going to give my final Oscar predictions for all 24 categories, indicating who I think will win and who I think should win. Starting with the nights biggest award…


Best Picture:


WILL WIN - 1917

SHOULD WIN - Once Upon A Time... In Hollywood OR Parasite

The Sam Mendes war-epic 1917 has a lot going for it. It was recently released so it is fresh in Academy voter’s minds. It is a war film which automatically puts in the slate for Oscar chatter. It also won Best Picture at the BAFTAs and The Golden Globes this year. While Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood could finally be Quentin Tarantino’s long-awaited Best Picture winner, 1917’s biggest competition in this category is Bong Joon-ho’s socially charged hit Parasite. If Parasite does outrank 1917, it will be the first foreign-language film to win Best Picture, a feat many expected to happen last year when Roma was the odds-on favorite to win but lost to the safer choice Green Book. Given last year’s outcome, I’m expecting The Academy to award 1917 with Best Picture but Parasite will still be recognized in the Best International Feature category.


Other Nominees:

Ford v Ferrari

The Irishman

Jojo Rabbit

Joker

Little Women

Marriage Story



Best Actor in a Leading Role:


WILL WIN - Joaquin Phoenix, Joker

SHOULD WIN - Adam Driver, Marriage Story

Probably the easiest award of the night to call. 4-Time Academy Award nominee Joaquin Phoenix is finally going to be awarded with an Oscar for his dark turn in Todd Phillips’ Joker. While this is a worthy win, it would be far more exciting to see Adam Driver recognized for giving in my opinion, the best performance of the year in the Netflix divorce drama Marriage Story. Another popular contender is Antonio Banderas for his powerful performance in Pain and Glory but given the film’s small following, the chances of a win for Banderas are very slim. And while my favorite actor Leonardo DiCaprio was brilliant as struggling actor Rick Dalton in Quentin Tarantino’s Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood, it was his co-star that stole the show.


Other Nominees:

Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory

Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood

Jonathan Pryce, The Two Popes



Best Actress in a Leading Role:


WILL WIN - Renée Zellweger, Judy

SHOULD WIN - Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story

The Academy loves a physical transformation and it’s no wonder that Renée Zellweger has made a clean sweep throughout awards season for her tragic yet moving portrayal of Hollywood legend, Judy Garland. I feel like given my admiration for Judy Garland and being that I am a huge fan of Zellweger’s work and commitment to the role, I should be ecstatic to see her win. But I can’t deny that Scarlett Johansson’s work in Marriage Story was a career highlight and some of the best work I’ve seen all year. Nevertheless, I will happily celebrate Zellweger’s win as she truly was Judy Garland in Judy. Cynthia Erivo and Charlize Theron don’t seem to be major contenders here and while it is amazing that Saoirse Ronan is a 4-time Oscar nominee at 25, a win is not expected for her this year.


Other Nominees:

Cynthia Erivo, Harriet

Saoirse Ronan, Little Women

Charlize Theron, Bombshell



Best Actor in a Supporting Role:


WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN - Brad Pitt, Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood

It is a universal opinion that Brad Pitt’s role as stuntman Cliff Booth was the epitome of the type of Pitt character we love to see on screen and in Tarantino’s love letter to 1960’s Hollywood, Brad Pitt was the star performance of the film. If anyone were to stop Pitt’s long awaited acting Oscar win, it would be 2-time winner Tom Hanks for his light-hearted portrayal of Fred Rogers. While it’s great to see Joe Pesci back on the Oscar ballot, the fact that his Irishman co-star Al Pacino is also being nominated causes the vote to be split. But let’s be clear, the outcome of this category is practically a given.


Other Nominees:

Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood

Anthony Hopkins, The Two Popes

Al Pacino, The Irishman

Joe Pesci, The Irishman



Best Actress in a Supporting Role:


WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN - Laura Dern, Marriage Story

Because Scarlett Johansson will most likely lose in the Best Leading Actress category, she could pull out an upset like Jessica Lange in 1982 when she was nominated in both Leading and Supporting categories that year and won for a less praised performance. But like this year’s Best Supporting Actor category, I find it hard to believe any of these nominees will overpower Laura Dern’s outstanding performance as a Divorce Attorney in Marriage Story. And not that Dern’s performance in this film isn’t enough to merit a win, but her 30+ years in the business and successful resume of performances doesn’t hurt her chances either.


Other Nominees:

Kathy Bates, Richard Jewell

Scarlett Johansson, Jojo Rabbit

Florence Pugh, Little Women

Margot Robbie, Bombshell



Best Director:


WILL WIN - Sam Mendes, 1917

SHOULD WIN - Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood

While the outcome in all the acting categories seems foreseeable, it’s this year’s Best Director nominations that is sparking the most possibilities. At one point, every single one of these nominees were considered top contenders for the award. While Quentin Tarantino has won 2 Academy Awards for his writing, many think it’s about time The Academy acknowledges his brilliance as a Director. Todd Phillips’ Joker leads the Oscar race with the most nominations (11 total) which gives him a lot of credit. Martin Scorsese was also a top choice by many critics for his 3 1/2 hour mob epic The Irishman. At this point the top two contenders for Best Picture are also the top contenders for Best Direction. Bong Joon-ho could repeat the trend of a Best Director win for a foreign-language film or Sam Mendes could win his second Oscar after his Best Director win in 1999 for American Beauty.


Other Nominees:

Martin Scorsese, The Irishman

Todd Phillips, Joker

Bong Joon-ho, Parasite



Best Original Screenplay:


WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN - Parasite

Co-Writer and Director Bong Joon-ho recently stated at this year’s Golden Globes, “Once you overcome the one-inch tall barrier of subtitles, you will be introduced to so many more amazing films.” Could this be the outcome in this category come Oscars night? Quentin Tarantino did take home the Golden Globe for Best Original Screenplay and already has 2 Oscar wins under his belt for writing. But with Parasite’s recent BAFTA win for Bong Joon-ho and Han Jin-won for their screenplay, these two films seem to be the top contenders in this category. It would be great to see Noah Baumbach be recognized for his powerful screenplay Marriage Story which he drew from his personal experience with divorce. This was also the only category that the clever and comedic murder mystery Knives Out received Oscar attention.


Other Nominees:

Knives Out

Marriage Story

Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood

1917



Best Adapted Screenplay:


WILL WIN – Jojo Rabbit

SHOULD WIN – Little Women

The plot of comedy-drama Jojo Rabbit definitely gained critics’ attention. With it’s recent BAFTA win and Writer’s Guild of America Awards win, Jojo Rabbit remains the top contender but given Greta Gerwig’s controversial snub in the Best Director nominations, The Academy could reward Little Women here.


Other Nominees:

The Irishman

Joker

The Two Popes



Best International Feature Film:


WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN - Parasite

Wouldn’t it be something if Parasite took home Best Picture and Best International Feature? I don’t expect that to happen but given its nomination in this category, a win for Parasite is deservedly inevitable.


Other Nominees:

Corpus Christi

Honeyland

Les Misérables

Pain and Glory



Best Original Song:


WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN - "(I'm Gonna) Love Me Again," Rocketman

Had “Show Yourself” from Frozen II been nominated in this category over the lesser impactful “Into The Unknown,” we’d have a different winner. But considering the commercial success of Elton John and Taron Egerton’s single from Rocketman, “(I’m Gonna) Love Me Again” seems like a logical choice.


Other Nominees:

"I Can't Let You Throw Yourself Away," Toy Story 4

"I'm Standing With You," Breakthrough

"Into The Unknown," Frozen II

"Stand Up," Harriet



Best Animated Feature Film:


SHOULD WIN/WILL WIN - Toy Story 4

If Disney/Pixar’s Toy Story 4 takes home this award, it will be the first sequel to win the Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film. Toy Story 3 won the Oscar for Best Animated Feature Film in 2010. The Netflix Christmas film Klaus did recently win the BAFTA for Best Animated Film while Missing Link won the award at this year’s Golden Globes so there are a lot of possibilities in this category.


Other Nominees:

How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World

I Lost My Body

Klaus

Missing Link



Best Original Score:


WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN - Joker


Other Nominees:

Little Women

Marriage Story

1917

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker



Best Cinematography:


WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN – 1917


Other Nominees:

The Irishman

Joker

The Lighthouse

Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood



Best Costume Design:


WILL WIN – Little Women

SHOULD WIN - Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood


Other Nominees:

The Irishman

Jojo Rabbit

Joker



Best Makeup and Hairstyling:


WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN – Bombshell


Other Nominees:

Joker

Judy

Maleficent: Mistress of Evil

1917



Best Production Design:


WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN - Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood


Other Nominees:

The Irishman

Jojo Rabbit

1917

Parasite



Best Visual Effects:


WILL WIN – 1917

SHOULD WIN – Avengers: Endgame


Other Nominees:

The Irishman

The Lion King

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker


Best Film Editing:


WILL WIN – The Irishman

SHOULD WIN – Parasite


Other Nominees:

Ford v Ferrari

Jojo Rabbit

Joker



Best Sound Editing:


WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN – Ford v Ferrari


Other Nominees:

Joker

Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood

1917

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker



Best Sound Mixing:


WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN – 1917


Other Nominees:

Ad Astra

Ford v Ferrari

Joker

Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood



Best Documentary Feature:


WILL WIN - For Sama

SHOULD WIN - American Factory


Other Nominees:

The Cave

The Edge of Democracy

Honeyland



Best Documentary Short Subject:


WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN – Learning to Skateboard in a Warzone (If You're a Girl)


Other Nominees:

In the Absence

Life Overtakes Me

St. Louis Superman

Walk Run Cha-Cha



Best Animated Short Film:


WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN - Hair Love


Other Nominees:

Dcera (Daughter)

Kitbull

Memorable

Sister



Best Live Action Short Film:


WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN – Brotherhood


Other Nominees:

Nefta Football Club

The Neighbors' Window

Saria

A Sister



What are YOUR Final predictions? Do some of my choices have you scratching your head? Are we on the same Oscar page? Put your predictions in the comments below!


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The 2020 Academy Awards will take place on February 9th at 8 PM eastern / 5 PM pacific and air on ABC.



HAPPY OSCARS EVERYONE!



#academyawards #oscars #2020academyawards #oscarpredictions

About the Administrator:

My name is Cody James. Welcome to my blog - Some Like It Hollywood!

Since I was a kid, movies have always been my virtual escape from reality.

I love ALL TYPES of films from every era and enjoy talking about them.

I currently host a movie review segment on 102.9 W4 Country in Ann Arbor, MI.

You can also follow my blog on Facebook, Instagram, and YouTube.

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