• Cody James

And The Oscar Goes To... 2019 Oscar Predictions


And the Oscar goes to…

The words that send us movie buffs who have placed our bets into a frenzy.


The 91st Academy Awards will take place on February 24th at 8:00 PM EST (5:00 PM PST), airing live on ABC and it’s fair to assume that most people would be able to create a longer list of this year’s controversies surrounding the Oscars in comparison to this year’s list of nominees.

I mean really, it seems like everyday for the past few months, the Oscars have undergone one controversial decision after another. Just to name a few:


A proposal for a “Popular Film” award to be given out starting in 2020…? Yeah, not going to happen anymore.

Kevin Hart was scheduled to host and was quickly removed from the position after a flood of negativity from viewers. Officially, the Oscars will be host-less this year.


To please those who have criticized the Oscar telecast’s lengthy timeframe, The Academy decided to hand out 4 of it’s 24 prestigious awards during commercial breaks.

That was obviously the wrong route to go as public outrage quickly withdrew The Academy from making such a change. Seriously? You’re going to overlook Cinematography and Makeup and Hair Styling?


With the Oscars less than a week away, many will tune in just to see how the show turns out considering all of the changes The Academy has tried to make, almost all of which have been scrapped. It makes me wonder if all of these recent attempts at making the Oscars appeal to a modern-day crowd, no matter how controversial, has been deliberately done by The Academy to stay relevant in the media, hence appealing to a modern-day audience.

But controversies and politics aside, the Oscars still remains one of the biggest nights in Hollywood and as someone who has tuned in every year, made their predictions (some right, some wrong, some that make me question The Academy’s taste), I am very intrigued to see what films will walk away with the coveted award.


With the exception of a few major categories, this year’s Oscars could deliver some big surprises and potential upsets which honestly makes the premise of the night all the more exciting.


That being said, let’s get to it! Taking in to consideration my opinions and consensus of other Oscar buffs, here are my final predictions for who will win in each of the 24 categories…


FYI, there will be no commercial breaks!



Best Picture

Winner: Roma


Other Nominees:


Black Panther

BlacKkKlansman

Bohemian Rhapsody

The Favourite

Green Book

A Star Is Born

Vice


The biggest award of the night is turning out to be the vaguest topic of debate. The past few years, the Oscars have made attempts to award Best Picture to films that don't fall under the typical independent Oscar formula. This year, The Academy has decided to throw us all for a loop by spreading out the genres and really addressing the criticism over a lack of diversity in their nominees. It's easy to pick a favorite to win Best Picture (My vote would be The Favourite) but if we are looking at the logistics of the Oscars past, this category could go in several different directions. Roma sits tight as the frontrunner in this category as it is truly effective in all aspects. The film touches on many sensitive subjects like race and family. Roma could potentially be the first black-and-white foreign language film to win Best Picture. It would also be the first Netflix film to be nominated and win.


Let's not take away the fact that we have our first live-action superhero film being recognized in the most prestigious category, Black Panther. Is a win expected? No. If it wins, would it be a huge gamechanger in how The Academy votes going forward? Absolutely.


Peter Farrelly’s biographical drama Green Book is the type of movie Oscar voters tend to lean towards. However, the many controversies surrounding Green Book could prevent it from winning. At one point I was convinced that The Favourite with its unique style of writing and appealing quality would win the award but as we get closer to awards night, I don’t think The Academy will place this film on top.


While Roma is the frontrunner in this category, this vote could go in so many different directions.



Best Actor in a Leading Role

Winner: Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody

Other Nominees:


Christian Bale, Vice

Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born

Willem Dafoe, At Eternity's Gate

Viggo Mortensen, Green Book


The Best Actor category is usually one of the easiest categories to call but each of the nominees in this list have their pros and cons. The Academy loves a physical transformation and Christian Bale delivered one of his grittiest performances in Vice. Bradley Cooper’s immense contributions to A Star Is Born should not go unnoticed (Where is his Best Director nomination?). But it’s looking like Rami Malek needs to nab just one more trophy to make a clean sweep of awards season. His only downfall may be that The Academy might be a little nervous about rewarding his performance as Freddie Mercury given the controversies surrounding Bohemian Rhapsody’s director, Bryan Singer.



Best Actress in a Leading Role

Winner: Glenn Close, The Wife

Other Nominees:


Yalitza Aparicio, Roma

Olivia Colman, The Favourite

Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born

Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?


Interesting that The Wife has received only one Oscar nomination this year. Which only further reinstates that the Best Actress Oscar was designed for Glenn Close to win this year. But that does not take away from Glenn's phenomenal performance in The Wife. Holding the record for the most nominations for an actress without a win (Amy Adams is only one nomination behind), it would be a sensible move for The Academy to honor Glenn Close’s incredible career by bestowing this award for her solid performance in The Wife. On my blog covering the Best Actress nominees a couple of weeks ago, I predicted that this year’s Best Actress category would result in a tie for Glenn Close and Lady Gaga (my personal choice to win) but if anyone is going to step over Glenn Close’s chance of winning, it is going to be Olivia Colman who recently received the BAFTA for Best Actress in The Favourite.



Best Actor in a Supporting Role

Winner: Mahershala Ali, Green Book

Other Nominees:


Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman

Sam Elliott, A Star Is Born

Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Sam Rockwell, Vice


Mahershala Ali took home the Best Supporting Actor Oscar just two years ago for Moonlight and of all the performances in this list, his is the one that is still receiving the most buzz. I wouldn’t mind seeing Sam Elliott take the award though.



Best Actress in a Supporting Role

Winner: Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk

Other Nominees:


Amy Adams, Vice

Marina de Tavira, Roma

Emma Stone, The Favourite

Rachel Weisz, The Favourite


It’s always great to see an actor or actress that doesn’t typically star in movies talked about during Oscar season finally get the recognition they deserve and all the praise surrounding Regina King’s performance in If Beale Street Could Talk is completely earned. That being said, this is also Amy Adams' sixth Oscar nomination. Could The Academy be thinking the same way about Adams as they do about Glenn Close…? I don’t think so. Amy Adams will get her Oscar one day, just not with Vice. And while Stone and Weisz were a brilliant pair in The Favourite, The Academy often gets split on the vote when two actors from the same film are pinned against each other.



Best Director

Winner: Alfonso Cuarón, Roma

Other Nominees:


Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman

Paweł Pawlikowski, Cold War

Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite

Adam McKay, Vice


Being that Alfonso Cuarón received the Golden Globe and recently the BAFTA for Best Direction, Cuarón holds the highest chance of winning and we all know The Academy has been trying to step outside the box with their recipients so awarding a Netflix film for its direction would be a first and could open up a whole new doorway to directors for years to come. It would be a big deal to have the Best Director Oscar go to Alfonso Cuarón for directing a Netflix film. Another strong contender in this category is Yorgos Lanthimos. Spike Lee could also make history as the first African American to win Best Director and this would also be Lee’s first EVER Oscar win (Let’s let that sink in for a moment).



Best Original Screenplay

Winner: Deborah Davis and Tony McNamara, The Favourite

Other Nominees:


Paul Schrader, First Reformed

Nick Vallelonga, Brian Currie, Peter Farrelly, Green Book

Alfonso Cuarón, Roma

Adam McKay, Vice


As much as I would like to see Paul Schrader FINALLY get acknowledged by Oscar voters, there is no denying that the brilliant and witty banter in The Favourite makes it, well, “the favorite” to win. This is the only category that First Reformed received a nomination which makes it all the more disappointing that it more than likely won’t win.



Best Adapted Screenplay

Winner: Charlie Wachtel & David Rabinowitz and Kevin Willmott & Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman

Other Nominees:


Joel Coen & Ethan Coen, The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

Nicole Holofcener and Jeff Whitty, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Barry Jenkins, If Beale Street Could Talk

Eric Roth and Bradley Cooper & Will Fetters, A Star Is Born


This is the Academy’s opportunity to reward Spike Lee with his long overdue Oscar win.



Best Original Song

Winner: "Shallow," A Star Is Born

Other Nominees:


"All The Stars," Black Panther

"I'll Fight," RBG

"The Place Where Lost Things Go," Mary Poppins Returns

"When A Cowboy Trades His Spurs For Wings," The Ballad of Buster Scruggs


This song is still playing on repeat months after the film’s release…end of story. Looks like Lady Gaga will be adding an Oscar to her closet of trophies.



Best Original Score

Winner: If Beale Street Could Talk

Other Nominees:


Black Panther

BlacKkKlansman

Isle of Dogs

Mary Poppins Returns


There is something very wrong with this list. First Man isn’t on it. Considering the fact that If Beale Street Could Talk was excluded from the Best Picture category, there’s a strong likelihood that The Academy will acknowledge the film’s immense quality here.



Best Costume Design

Winner: The Favourite

Other Nominees:


The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

Black Panther

Mary Poppins Returns

Mary Queen of Scots


Period dramas typically win when placed in this category. There is some talk that Black Panther may walk away with this award, but my money is on The Favourite.



Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Winner: Mary Queen of Scots

Other Nominees:


Border

Vice


Very odd that The Favourite didn’t make this list as I would have expected it to win in this category but since The Academy didn’t give much love to another great period piece released in 2018, let’s expect to see Mary Queen of Scots take this one.



Best Production Design

Winner: The Favourite

Other Nominees:


Black Panther

First Man

Mary Poppins Returns

Roma



Best Cinematography

Winner: Roma

Other Nominees:


Cold War

The Favourite

Never Look Away

A Star Is Born



Best Visual Effects

Winner: First Man

Other Nominees:


Avengers: Infinity War

Christopher Robin

Ready Player One

Solo: A Star Wars Story


Damien Chazelle’s space drama could potentially beat out the favorite to win Avengers: Infinity War.



Best Sound Editing

Winner: Bohemian Rhapsody

Other Nominees:


Black Panther

First Man

A Quiet Place

Roma



Best Sound Mixing

Winner: Roma

Other Nominees:


Black Panther

Bohemian Rhapsody

First Man

A Star Is Born



Best Film Editing

Winner: BlacKkKlansman

Other Nominees:


Bohemian Rhapsody

The Favourite

Green Book

Vice



Best Foreign Language Film

Winner: Cold War

Other Nominees:


Capernaum

Never Look Away

Roma

Shoplifters


It depends on how the Best Picture results turn out but whether or not Roma takes home the Best Picture award, it would be nice to see Pawlikowski’s period drama win in this category.



Best Animated Feature Film

Winner: Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

Other Nominees:


Incredibles 2

Isle of Dogs

Mirai

Ralph Breaks the Internet


Besides Incredibles 2, I don’t see much competition here. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse was a huge hit with audiences and critics.



Best Animated Short Film

Winner: Bao

Other Nominees:


Animal Behaviour

Late Afternoon

One Small Step

Weekends



Best Documentary Feature

Winner: RBG

Other Nominees:


Free Solo

Hale County This Morning, This Evening

Minding the Gap Of Fathers and Sons


The fact that the best documentary film of 2018, Won’t You Be My Neighbor? was not acknowledged by The Academy this year makes this category irrelevant to me. This is the chance for the Oscars to go the political route by awarding RBG.



Best Documentary Short Subject

Winner: Black Sheep

Other Nominees:


End Game

Lifeboat

A Night at the Garden

Period. End of Sentence.



Best Live Action Short Film

Winner: Marguerite

Other Nominees:


Detainment

Fauve

Mother

Skin



And there they are! Whew... My final predictions for all 24 categories. Some I may not personally want to see win but the way the Oscars have been throwing us for a loop come awards night these past few years, I've come to realize that anything can happen.


What are your predictions? Think I've lost my mind on some of the categories? Let me know in the comments below and be sure to subscribe to Somelikeithollywood.com and follow me on Facebook and Instagram!


Happy Oscars everybody!

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About the Administrator:

My name is Cody James. Welcome to my blog - Some Like It Hollywood!

Since I was a kid, movies have always been my virtual escape from reality.

I love ALL TYPES of films from every era and enjoy talking about them.

I currently host a movie review segment on 102.9 W4 Country in Ann Arbor, MI.

You can also follow my blog on Facebook, Instagram, and YouTube.

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